Jumat, 23 April 2010
Betting Tips and Money Management in Soccer Betting
Your football betting experts offer tips to the news media reported on the team and the opposing players, the support of hundreds of bookmakers betting method. However, when you finally ensure your place big bet on favorites, this time is to start the prayer. Unfortunately, betting on the football quite unpredictable. Thousands of agents have to play against us. How we can bet to reduce our losses? The only way this is through the use of monetary policies to do it. This article gives an overview of betting methods and strategies to money management and statistical comparison of their performance in terms of fit and results from leagues in Europe bet.
The most common use of cash-management strategies are in our time: Martingale, line numbers and general criteria. While the second requires no prior information needed to win the general criteria for the punter probably know.
Definitions
Before presenting the performance analysis, a brief description of the above strategy is needed:
- Martingale strategy means a doubling stack after loss and restore it to win after starting stack. This strategy is currently the most popular and promise positive benefits but require intensive investment money.
- Line-numbers means planning a series of profit is fixed. The bets, each calculated Punter to participate in such a way that made it possible to benefit plans. If he loses, he must in addition to a way to cash in gains stack both now lost interest and lost to play the planned increases. This strategy is less aggressive when martingale, but still dangerous.
- General criteria: mathematical constant is the best strategy in the long term. However, it requires knowing the probability of winning. In the stack than the size of the budgets were calculated and the relationship between probability and winning bets. If the probability and the chances are high, the stack will be high and vice versa.
Data and Methods
To evaluate the performance of each strategy, we analyze the odds of bookmakers for leagues of Europe set. Imagine where the stock exchange speculators betting on favorites will be betting at least. Can a simple average number of properties likely to win / draw / away results by the total number of games to appreciate in the season.
Sports betting and results from four games in Europe League season 2008/2009: English Premier, French Ligue 1, German Bundesliga and Spanish Primera receive a section is taken.
Summary
- The results show that betting is the best measure of the general money-management strategy 3 with average income, compared with 5% 1% (line) and 1.2% ().
- French Ligue 1 with the most profitable bet profit of 22% (total), 9% (line) and 10% (martingale) and
- War is the least profitable English Premier League betting loses of 10% (total)), -9% (line) and -8% bet ().
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